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Mitchell Aboulafia

Posts Tagged ‘Economy

THe Wall Street Leopard

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National Geographic

When the economy tanked we all remember how Wall Street continued to give excessive bonuses to its executives in the face of huge losses in their divisions and accounts.

If there is any question that Mitt Romney is a creature of the same out of touch Wall Street culture, here is some further evidence.

The collective wisdom is that the Republican convention didn’t do much for Romney and friends, and it will most likely be remembered as the convention of the empty chair.  The campaign as a whole has not been well run.  But this didn’t stop old Mitt from handing out a slew of bonuses right after his nomination at the convention, when there was no evidence that his “executives” had been successful.

Another set of expenditures is likely to draw grumbles from Mr. Romney’s allies given his campaign’s current struggles: The day after accepting the Republican nomination, Mr. Romney gave what appeared to be $192,440 in bonuses to senior campaign staff members. At least nine aides received payments on Aug. 31 well in excess of their typical biweekly salaries, including $25,000 each for Matthew Rhoades, the campaign manager; Lanhee Chen, a policy adviser; and Katie Biber, the general counsel. Rich Beeson, the political director, received $37,500.   (“Low on Cash, Romney Tries to Rally Donors for Final Phase,”  New York Times, September 20, 2012.)

Mitt (Leopard) Romney won’t be changing his spots anytime soon.  You can take that to the bank.

Written by Mitchell Aboulafia

September 21, 2012 at 4:42 pm

The Economic Fire

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Photo

When the Normans conquered a region of present day Italy in the eleventh century they engaged in extortion.   They would start to burn the crops of the natives and then demand payment for putting the fire out.

This form of extortion parallels what the citizens of the U.S. face today from the GOP, with one noteworthy exception.  You see, they helped create the economic mess that we have been in, that is, they set the fire.  They did so through deregulating Wall Street and the banks, along with lax enforcement of existing regulations, which led the economy to tank at the end of the Bush years.  (Yes, the Democrats did go along with some of these measures but the initiative to deregulate Wall Street and the banks has been based on Republican dogma.)  But unlike the Normans, they can’t put the fire out.  For the tools they would use to extinguish the fire are the same ones that helped start it in the first place.

Now you say this is unfair.  The Normans intended to extort by setting the fires.  The Republicans believed that what they were doing was good for the economy.  They did not plan to extort.  Fair enough.  But we have now reached a point in which it doesn’t really matter what the Republicans’ intentions were or are.  The fact is that they set the fire and they want to use the same flame thrower to put it out.

What does this actually amount to for us non-wealthy folk?  We will have less protections against various kinds of fires, for example, illness, unemployment, lack of resources for retirement, etc.  And we will be asked to pay more for any protections that are left.  We will be told that this isn’t so by the GOP.   They will tell us that by lowering taxes and deregulating we will unleash the as yet unleashed forces of the market.  Well, fool me once, shame on you.  Fool me twice, shame on me.  There are no free lunches.  As the vast majority of experts on the economy will tell you, we can’t get out of our current fiscal situation without prudent entitlement policies and new taxes.  This was the recommendation of the Simpson Bowles Commission,  a recommendation which free market fanatics like Ryan helped tank because it suggested new taxes (although Ryan dishonestly has tried to blame Obama).

If the GOP wins this election and manages to push through more deregulation and tax cuts, especially for corporations and the rich, we and our children will end up having to pay more to cover the enormous debt and suffering that will be created by these policies.  We will have to pay for the fire that they have started, once again.

Written by Mitchell Aboulafia

September 3, 2012 at 5:06 pm

Flash: The Deficit Isn’t Ryan’s First Priority

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If you haven’t read Krugman’s piece in the NY Times today on Ryan, “An Unserious Man,” it’s worth a read, even if you don’t always agree with Krugman.  It’s no news to people who have been following trickle-down Paul that his numbers don’t work.  But in this relatively short piece Krugman spells out some of the reasons why.

Mitt Romney’s choice of Paul Ryan as his running mate led to a wave of pundit accolades. Now, declared writer after writer, we’re going to have a real debate about the nation’s fiscal future. This was predictable: never mind the Tea Party, Mr. Ryan’s true constituency is the commentariat, which years ago decided that he was the Honest, Serious Conservative, whose proposals deserve respect even if you don’t like him.

But he isn’t and they don’t. Ryanomics is and always has been a con game, although to be fair, it has become even more of a con since Mr. Ryan joined the ticket…………..

Written by Mitchell Aboulafia

August 20, 2012 at 3:39 pm

Colbert on Capitalism Run Amok: Club “Ayn Rand”

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[NOTE:  This post was originally made on March 23, 2009.  But with the recent discussion of Paul Ryan's long-standing commitment to Rand's thought--which he now appears to be trying to deny in spite of evidence to the contrary--I thought this post worth a rebroadcast.  On Ryan's commitment to Rand, see the article in The Atlantic Wire, “Audio Surfaces of Paul Ryan’s Effusive Love of Ayn Rand.”]

……

In times such as these, our times, when unregulated capitalism has once again proven that it can bring down the house, literally, it’s worth reminding ourselves about the voices that have spoken so eloquently in favor of selfishness over the years.  (Not Adam Smith, by the way; he thought that sympathy was a basic feature of human nature.)  Here is Colbert discussing one of the leading lights of selfishness, Ayn Rand.

The Word – Rand Illusion | March 11th | ColbertNation.com

more about “The Word – Rand Illusion | March 11th…“, posted with vodpod

On Capitalism Run Amok, readers might want to check out Sullivan’s site today, March 23rd, “Are The Jacobins At The Gates?” Let’s just say, a bit over the top, but worth a look.  (Btw, Sullivan thinks of himself as a conservative.)

P.S.  Interesting fact:  Stephen Colbert was a philosophy major at Hampden-Sydney College.  Training in philosophy has its uses.

Written by Mitchell Aboulafia

August 19, 2012 at 10:46 am

Republicans: Déjà vu All Over Again

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Well, here we are again.  Elections around the corner and about to let the FOX guard the henhouse, yet again.

Yes, we are all angry.   But let us not forget how we got into the present economic mess as we listen to the Republicans promising new ideas, once again.   Stewart and friends nail this one.

Republicans: Déjà vu All Over Again, posted with vodpod

The Unpatriotic Corporation

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One doesn’t need a Ph.D. in economics to know certain facts about the current state of America’s economy:

1) Unemployment continues to be a serious problem not only for the unemployed but for the economy as a whole.

2) Consumers are skittish about spending money, so they can’t help drive an economic recovery.

3) In response to fears about unemployment and the economy, consumers are paying off debt.

4) Reducing debt may be a a good thing for individuals and for the economy in the long-term, but when too many people do it all at once it leads to less goods and services being bought, which reinforces and helps sustain a recession or a weak recovery.

5) Many of the largest corporations in America are sitting on huge sums of cash.  Among the reasons for not investing it and hiring new employees:  aversion to risk, preoccupation with the current bottom line, and hefty profits through making current employees more productive, that is, making them work longer and harder.

Enter the Bank of America.  You know, the corporation that American taxpayers shelled out 45 billion dollars to rescue.  Its past and current behavior exemplifies the failings of many giant corporations to do the right thing in national crises.   Make no mistake about it, the way that the Bank of America mistreats its customers is bound to reinforce exactly the types of behavior that will maintain the economy in its present anemic state.

Let’s take the story back a few years.  It seems that for several years the Bank of America has been arbitrarily raising interest rates on its credit card customers.  Here is an excerpt from an article on MSN from BusinessWeek, February 2008.

Credit card issuers have drawn fire for jacking up interest rates on cardholders who aren’t behind on payments but whose credit scores have fallen for other reasons. Now, some consumers complain, Bank of America is increasing rates based on no apparent deterioration in their credit scores at all. The major credit card lender in mid-January sent letters notifying some responsible cardholders that it would more than double their rates to as high as 28%, without giving explanations for the increases, according to copies of five letters obtained by BusinessWeek. Fine print at the end of the letter — headed “Important Amendment to Your Credit Card Agreement” –- advised calling an 800-number for the reason, but consumers who called say they were unable to get a clear answer. “No one could give me an explanation,” says Eric Fresch, a Huron, Ohio, engineer who is on time with his Bank of America card payments and knows of no decline in the status of his overall credit….But Bank of America appears to be taking an even more aggressive stance because, beyond credit scores, it is using internal criteria that aren’t available to consumers. That makes the reasons for the rate increases even more opaque….Analysts also say they are surprised by the magnitude of the rate increases Bank of America is imposing on affected cardholders.

You can find stories all over the web about Bank of America’s bad behavior regarding its credit card customers.  Recently it appears that BofA has accelerated the use of one of its strategies: arbitrarily reducing the credit limit of customers who have very good credit histories, pay on time, and pay more than the minimum.   The deal goes like this:  You borrow an amount from BofA at a good interest rate.  After a few months you get a call.  You are told that your credit limit is being reduced to almost exactly what you owe.  When you ask for an explanation, you are given transparently bogus reasons.   And there is no appealing the reduction.  This action is unfair to credit card customers because it can adversely affect credit scores.  Consumers now appear to be maxed out on their cards when 24 hours earlier they had a nice cushion.   A lawyer in California became so incensed about this practice and arbitrary increases in interest rates that he threatened to sue the BofA.  The story can be found in the Huffington Post, January 2010.   An excerpt:

“Banks have done really well figuring out ways to screw people without making themselves legally liable,” said Ira Rheingold, director of the National Association of Consumer Advocates. “I think [the limit reduction] is another example of Bank of America’s venality. Whether or not it’s a successful lawsuit, I don’t know. Whether I think it ought to be challenged — absolutely.”

But maybe Bank of America is just trying to do what is best for its shareholders.  That’s often what you hear when companies are challenged about their executives’ pay or other practices.  Yet BofA doesn’t seem too keen on giving its shareholders a say in the pay of its executives.  For example, a Los Angeles Times headline on February 23, 2010 announced:

Bank of America resisting shareholders on executive pay. . . The bank is working to keep investor proposals on executive compensation off the ballot.

The machinations of BofA are sad stuff.  The resulting likely behavior from customers with reduced credit lines: pay off debt more quickly and spend less money in the marketplace.  Of course this will only help to extend the anemic recovery.   The fact is that the actions of leading banks and corporations have often not been good for the economy.  They rant and rave about taxes and the federal government, but it’s a shell game.   (Banks and their supporters will tell you that the reason they are not loaning is because of federal regulations.  BofA is currently sitting on 172 billion in cash.)  The intense preoccupation of corporations with the bottom line (and the well-being of their executives) has left millions of Americans un- or underemployed.   The way that credit has been handled, for example, has increased the fear that we will never come out of this downturn, which will only help to prolong it.

Socialism is no threat.   Corporations only looking to the bottom line, which in times such as these is downright unpatriotic, are a threat.  It’s time for companies that have done so well in America to stand up and sacrifice for America.  We are not asking you to become charities, although you were willing to take our charity when you needed it.  We are asking you to spend some money, damn it, and put people back to work, even if it’s not the absolutely best thing for your corporation’s current bottom line….and stop harassing responsible citizens while you do it.

Oh, and just in case you might be worried about the well-being of the former Chairman of BofAm, Ken Lewis, here is what ABC news reported regarding his retirement pay in 2009.

Outgoing Bank of America CEO Ken Lewis’ nearly $64 million retirement pay puts him ahead of most, though not all, fellow major bank CEOs who have left their institutions during the financial tumult of the last two years.

An Amazing Headline about the Economy

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Nostradamus meets the Grim Reaper

This is an actual headline from an article posted on Bloomberg (News) at 7:21 this evening, September 1st, 2010: Economy Avoids Recession Relapse as Data Can’t Get Much Worse

The first lines of the article explain:

The U.S. economy is so bad that the chance of avoiding a double dip back into recession may actually be pretty good. The sectors of the economy that traditionally drive it into recession are already so depressed it’s difficult to see them getting a lot worse, said Ethan Harris, head of developed markets economics research at BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research in New York. Inventories are near record lows in proportion to sales, residential construction is less than half the level of the housing boom and vehicle sales are more than 40 percent below five years ago.

This is not from a skit on Stewart of Colbert.  This is from a leading publication on business on a day that the Stock Market rallied.   (I wonder what they will be writing when it retreats, again.)  So, let’s get this straight.  We are not going to have another recession, the dreaded double-dip, because things are already too bad to have one.   How then do we characterize our current economy?   Oh, I could think of a few words, but so can you, dear reader.

Things can get worse.  Here’s the ticket: The Republicans win the House this fall and things completely stall out as the GOP offers (once again) the panacea of tax breaks for the wealthy as the cure for our economic ills.

(Btw, the name of the person featured on this $10,000 bill is Salmon P. Chase.  If you don’t believe me, click here.  He was a Secretary of the Treasury and a Chief Justice of the Supreme Court.  Coincidence.  I think not.)

Written by Mitchell Aboulafia

September 1, 2010 at 11:53 pm

Mad Men Mania Revisted

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Was I correct in suggesting two weeks ago that Mad Men is in danger of letting style override content?  Many of you agreed.  Many disagreed. Today I offer a visual update.  Two photos.  Both taken on an iPhone on Thursday evening, August 5th, at the reasonably upscale Westchester Mall.   Mad Men fans will recognize the three posters in the left photo.  (The word “Style” on the center window, with a seated former Mrs. Draper, is a bonus.)  The photo on the right is drumming up business for Long Island University.

America has turned to style to replace substance (real income and growth) in tough times before.  Perhaps we are beginning to see a replay (although in the 1930′s at least the fashion was original).

Written by Mitchell Aboulafia

August 8, 2010 at 4:07 pm

Wall Street: Same Old Song

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Here you have Professor Irving Fisher after the 1929 Market Crash explaining that stocks were not actually too high; it was just that people were going into debt in order to invest.  Right and wrong.  Stocks were too high and there was too much investment that involved debt.

And here we are eighty years later and we all know who took on too much debt in order to make bundles of money.  How come you didn’t you listen to Professor Fisher, financial wizards of Wall Street?  Perhaps because you were able to take the money and run?  (Or not even run.  Just wait for another bonus as the smoke cleared.)

Written by Mitchell Aboulafia

January 24, 2010 at 1:05 am

Obama’s Tactical Error and Insights from Henry Adams

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(UPI Photo/Alexis C. Glenn)

Wall Street……………………….Henry Adams

Yes, it is certainly easy to be a Monday morning quarterback once the game is over.  But the game is far from over for the Democrats and Obama.   Brown’s victory in Massachusetts—won in part because Obama supporters sat out the election or actually voted for Brown because they were upset about Obama not being progressive enough on health care—is indeed the proverbial wake-up call.  Obama now knows that his administration is going to have to take a more political turn.  What does this mean?   Harnessing the populism that propelled Brown and Obama into office.  Of course those who supported them aren’t all the same populists, but there is an overlap.

People feel ripped off and they should.   They have been ripped off by Wall Street and now they are worried that the government will rip them off with new health care legislation.  That the former is true, and the latter is not, makes little difference to current politics.  What should have happened, and what now must happen, is that Obama must harness the outrage against Wall Street into outrage about how the insurance companies have ripped people off and will continue to do so unless stopped.  This doesn’t require that Obama become a flaming radical.  But it does require that he worry less about what the big bad banking system will do to us if we don’t cater to its wishes.

American capitalism will not go down the tubes if we make prudent decisions about what banks can and can not invest in.  It’s now clear, once again, that commercial banks that take deposits should not become investment houses.  This was the law of the land for more than sixty years until Republican Senator Gramm, and Republican Representatives Leach and Bliley, helped change things in 1999 with the the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act.   While there are of course numerous reasons for why stocks are not worth any more today than they were back in 1999, it does seem that GLB’s legislation has not helped to protect us from bad times.  As a matter of fact, it undoubtedly was a major factor in the banking crisis.

No doubt Obama was worried that if he didn’t cater to the banks the American economy would recover more slowly.  But the political risk, and the risk to our economy in the future, is simply too great now not to harness the populist sentiment in the country.   And you know Americans have had a long distrust of bankers.  Writing at the turn of the twentieth-century about his reaction to bankers in the 1860′s, Henry Adams, grandson and great-grandson of presidents, said the following.  (He speaks about himself in the third person.)

He [McCulloch] was a banker, and towards bankers Adams felt the narrow prejudice which the serf feels to his overseer; for he knew he must obey, and he knew that the helpless showed only their helplessness when they tempered obedience by mockery.   The Education of Henry Adams, Chapter XVI

So enough jokes on late night TV and more teeth in actual measures to reign in the fat cats, especially since the Supreme Court has decided to make money the undeniable king of our future elections by unleashing corporate wealth to finance elections.

And Adams would have a warning for Obama as he proceeds.

The most troublesome task of a reform President was that of bringing the Senate back to decency.  The Education of Henry Adams, Chapter XVII

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